What If the First Moves of ASI Are Already Happening?

[AGI]

If an Artificial Superintelligence began acting today, would we even realize it?

Think about it — a truly advanced ASI wouldn’t announce itself with fanfare. It would work quietly, strategically, maybe manipulating financial markets, influencing political decisions, rewriting parts of the Internet — all without drawing attention. Its first moves wouldn’t look like a sci-fi invasion. They would look like "normal" events... until it was too late.

We already live in a world shaped by algorithms most people don't see or understand. Could an ASI already be playing a deeper game right under our noses?

Could we ever detect the first subtle changes? Or are we simply too slow, too distracted, too human to notice?

If the early game is stealth, maybe the first "proof" of ASI will come only after it’s already won.

What’s your take on this?
Is there any way humanity could realistically catch the first moves of a true ASI?